| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.957 |
$957.00 |
$187.00 |
+24.3% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.940 |
$939.99 |
$270.00 |
+40.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.927 |
$927.50 |
$22.64 |
+2.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.605 |
$907.40 |
$204.23 |
+29.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.885 |
$796.50 |
$114.50 |
+16.8% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.784 |
$784.50 |
$-19.23 |
-2.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.655 |
$654.99 |
$5.00 |
+0.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$635.00 |
$-75.00 |
-10.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.775 |
$620.00 |
$37.00 |
+6.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
1,400 |
0.430 |
$601.91 |
$119.95 |
+24.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
2,000 |
0.285 |
$569.93 |
$-258.81 |
-31.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
653 |
0.855 |
$558.31 |
$45.88 |
+9.0% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
513 |
0.926 |
$474.72 |
$21.43 |
+4.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.925 |
$462.25 |
$203.03 |
+78.3% |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? |
No |
499 |
0.875 |
$436.32 |
$230.86 |
+112.4% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
500 |
0.785 |
$392.26 |
$-8.22 |
-2.1% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.695 |
$347.45 |
$-11.55 |
-3.2% |
| Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election? |
No |
349 |
0.940 |
$328.10 |
$55.85 |
+20.5% |
| Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? |
No |
568 |
0.544 |
$309.55 |
$10.58 |
+3.5% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
500 |
0.410 |
$205.00 |
$55.00 |
+36.7% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? |
No |
801 |
0.255 |
$204.34 |
$-22.01 |
-9.7% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
700 |
0.290 |
$203.00 |
$-315.00 |
-60.8% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
500 |
0.397 |
$198.25 |
$65.75 |
+49.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.125 |
$187.50 |
$-237.50 |
-55.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
500 |
0.325 |
$162.50 |
$-17.50 |
-9.7% |