Trader
0xb5e73c81152bce7f20dd04fbedec37eca0ae00a0
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$61
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-56.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$20.25
avg win $31 · loss $46
Profit Factor
0.33
$31 won / $91 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$91
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $609 · all-time $44,386
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
63.6%
7W/4L
|
11 |
$443 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
25.0%
1W/3L
|
3 |
$138 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
30 |
1.000 |
$29.54 |
$4.49 |
+17.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
41 |
0.150 |
$6.21 |
$-16.69 |
-72.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? |
Yes |
4 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-3.16 |
-99.9% |