PnL (30d)

−$76

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-20.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

7W / 4L

Win Return (30d)

64%

7W / 4L

Trades (30d)

11

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$8.44

avg win $11 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.46

$65 won / $141 lost

Reward / Risk

0.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$130

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.6% 7W/4L	9	$415
🌤 Weather	40.0% 2W/3L	3	$154

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	30	0.989	$29.23	$4.18	+16.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.002	$0.01	$-3.15	-99.8%