PnL (30d)

+$21

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+50.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

128W / 726L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

15%

128W / 726L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

861

across 269 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.08

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.59

$57 won / $36 lost

Reward / Risk

14.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.0% 457W/2,403L	863	$309
🌤 Weather	23.8% 31W/99L	43	$32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	532	0.015	$7.98	$7.45	+1400.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	819	0.003	$2.46	$1.30	+113.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	699	0.003	$2.10	$1.20	+134.2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.032	$1.57	$1.43	+950.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	819	0.002	$1.23	$0.09	+8.1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	43	0.013	$0.54	$0.41	+316.5%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.007	$0.35	$0.20	+133.3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 6?	Yes	138	0.001	$0.07	$-0.07	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.002	$0.03	$0.01	+49.5%