PnL (30d)

+$53

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+40.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

16%

457W / 2,403L · 97 open

Win Return (30d)

17%

498W / 2,437L · 22 open

Trades (30d)

2,957

across 863 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.06

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.49

$161 won / $108 lost

Reward / Risk

15.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.0% 457W/2,403L	863	$309
🌤 Weather	27.1% 42W/113L	55	$38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	532	0.015	$8.25	$7.71	+1450.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	819	0.005	$4.50	$3.35	+290.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	699	0.004	$2.45	$1.55	+173.2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.044	$2.23	$2.08	+1383.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	819	0.002	$1.23	$0.09	+8.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.75	$0.60	+400.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	43	0.015	$0.62	$0.49	+383.2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-0.15	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 6?	Yes	138	0.001	$0.07	$-0.07	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	19	0.002	$0.03	$0.01	+49.5%