PnL (30d)

+$921

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$451

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

43W / 5L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

53W / 14L

Trades (30d)

67

across 8 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$184.17

avg win $243 · loss $50

Profit Factor

19.41

$971 won / $50 lost

Reward / Risk

4.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$49

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.9% 219W/153L	73	$247,733
⚽ Sports	70.5% 67W/28L	23	$11,061
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$20,741
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$768
₿ Crypto	100.0% 4W/0L	1	$804

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	10,203	0.981	$10,004.28	$379.30	+3.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	2,198	0.935	$2,054.95	$54.95	+2.7%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	2,403	0.835	$2,006.67	$342.97	+20.6%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	7,281	0.195	$1,419.71	$-1,705.26	-54.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	6,771	0.155	$1,049.48	$-50.51	-4.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	1,426	0.557	$794.32	$29.32	+3.8%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	483	0.909	$439.05	$139.14	+46.4%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	68	0.925	$62.88	$31.61	+101.1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	106	0.475	$50.53	$0.53	+1.1%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	HANJIN BRION	359	0.001	$0.18	$-124.82	-99.9%