endlesssss
0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926
PnL (30d)
−$8,705
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3,034
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
219W / 153L · 153 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
240W / 285L
Trades (30d)
525
across 73 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$133.92
avg win $196 · loss $629
Profit Factor
0.47
$7,651 won / $16,356 lost
Reward / Risk
0.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$758
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41,857 · all-time $6,645,049
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
10,203 |
0.981 |
$10,004.28 |
$379.30 |
+3.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,198 |
0.935 |
$2,054.95 |
$54.95 |
+2.7% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
2,403 |
0.835 |
$2,006.67 |
$342.97 |
+20.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
7,281 |
0.215 |
$1,565.32 |
$-1,559.65 |
-49.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
6,771 |
0.160 |
$1,083.33 |
$-16.66 |
-1.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,426 |
0.531 |
$757.96 |
$-7.04 |
-0.9% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
483 |
0.909 |
$439.05 |
$139.14 |
+46.4% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner |
Hanwha Life Esports |
577 |
0.685 |
$395.19 |
$95.19 |
+31.7% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
68 |
0.925 |
$62.88 |
$31.61 |
+101.1% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner |
HANJIN BRION |
359 |
0.001 |
$0.18 |
$-124.82 |
-99.9% |