PnL (30d)

+$91

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

51W / 23L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

55W / 31L

Trades (30d)

86

across 19 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$5.70

avg win $15 · loss $9

Profit Factor

2.60

$148 won / $57 lost

Reward / Risk

1.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	60.0% 63W/42L	60	$8,047
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$75
💵 Economy	—	1	$24
🏛 Politics	—	1	$242
⚽ Sports	—	1	$69

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	No	50	0.740	$37.00	$-2.50	-6.3%
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	50	0.685	$34.25	$-5.75	-14.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	50	0.425	$21.25	$-17.90	-45.7%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	25	0.645	$16.31	$2.15	+15.2%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	24	0.555	$13.53	$-0.61	-4.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	28	0.459	$12.85	$1.88	+17.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	37	0.325	$12.08	$-2.04	-14.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	10	0.271	$2.81	$-1.19	-29.7%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	102	0.025	$2.49	$-4.21	-62.9%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?	No	6	0.160	$0.94	$-1.99	-68.0%