0xB451Ec5519a5BAC63DBFE593D6001Dd292C2467B-1775550064778
0xb451ec5519a5bac63dbfe593d6001dd292c2467b
PnL (30d)
+$34
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
63W / 42L · 116 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
123W / 98L
Trades (30d)
221
across 59 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.23
avg win $11 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.27
$160 won / $126 lost
Reward / Risk
1.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,687 · all-time $89,118
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.669 |
$33.45 |
$-5.70 |
-14.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.655 |
$16.56 |
$2.40 |
+17.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
24 |
0.555 |
$13.53 |
$-0.61 |
-4.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
28 |
0.460 |
$12.86 |
$1.89 |
+17.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
37 |
0.325 |
$12.08 |
$-2.04 |
-14.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.261 |
$2.71 |
$-1.29 |
-32.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
102 |
0.026 |
$2.64 |
$-4.06 |
-60.6% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? |
No |
6 |
0.215 |
$1.26 |
$-1.67 |
-57.0% |