Cape-Town
0xb4242b37f6914472abfad5c3ea2d6e86199e3b71
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$351
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-38.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
8W / 26L
Win Return (30d)
24%
8W / 26L
Trades (30d)
34
across 23 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$15.26
avg win $43 · loss $36
Profit Factor
0.42
$255 won / $607 lost
Reward / Risk
1.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$39
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $172,959
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,871 |
0.065 |
$121.61 |
$-74.16 |
-37.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
173 |
0.148 |
$25.56 |
$-16.24 |
-38.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
591 |
0.018 |
$10.94 |
$-29.82 |
-73.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
532 |
0.015 |
$7.97 |
$-12.37 |
-60.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.085 |
$7.31 |
$-7.32 |
-50.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? |
Yes |
104 |
0.065 |
$6.77 |
$-8.86 |
-56.7% |