Cape-Town
0xb4242b37f6914472abfad5c3ea2d6e86199e3b71
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$373
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+131.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
6W / 11L
Win Return (30d)
35%
6W / 11L
Trades (30d)
17
across 12 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$31.08
avg win $182 · loss $19
Profit Factor
3.16
$546 won / $173 lost
Reward / Risk
9.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $172,959
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,871 |
0.065 |
$121.61 |
$-74.16 |
-37.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
173 |
0.150 |
$26.00 |
$-15.80 |
-37.8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
591 |
0.019 |
$11.53 |
$-29.23 |
-71.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
532 |
0.015 |
$7.71 |
$-12.63 |
-62.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
86 |
0.085 |
$7.31 |
$-7.32 |
-50.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? |
Yes |
104 |
0.065 |
$6.77 |
$-8.86 |
-56.7% |