PnL (30d)

−$308

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-14.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

55%

229W / 185L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

234W / 194L

Trades (30d)

428

across 211 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.50

avg win $4 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.61

$490 won / $798 lost

Reward / Risk

0.53

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$61

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.7% 1,060W/809L	1011	$12,674
🌤 Weather	56.1% 110W/86L	92	$1,188

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	64	0.998	$63.87	$47.87	+299.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	136	0.260	$35.35	$11.35	+47.3%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	83	0.390	$32.28	$8.28	+34.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	114	0.185	$21.03	$4.12	+24.4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	65	0.215	$14.07	$1.64	+13.2%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	43	0.270	$11.70	$1.15	+10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	35	0.255	$8.93	$-1.57	-15.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	59	0.110	$6.54	$-10.17	-60.9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	42	0.135	$5.72	$-5.28	-48.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	95	0.035	$3.31	$-14.05	-80.9%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?	Yes	23	0.085	$1.96	$-1.90	-49.4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.015	$0.38	$-6.74	-94.7%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	59	0.005	$0.33	$-14.77	-97.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	213	0.001	$0.11	$-19.80	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	30	0.002	$0.04	$-8.71	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	13	0.003	$0.03	$-3.87	-99.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	48	0.001	$0.02	$-13.90	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.02	$-10.38	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.001	$0.01	$-5.27	-99.8%