PnL (30d)

+$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

1,060W / 809L · 67 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

1,083W / 845L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

1,936

across 1,011 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.01

avg win $5 · loss $5

Profit Factor

1.00

$2,648 won / $2,639 lost

Reward / Risk

1.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$173

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.7% 1,060W/809L	1011	$12,674
🌤 Weather	57.2% 119W/89L	101	$1,239

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	64	0.993	$63.55	$47.55	+297.2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	136	0.280	$38.07	$14.07	+58.6%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	83	0.360	$29.79	$5.79	+24.1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	59	0.350	$20.80	$4.09	+24.5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	114	0.160	$18.19	$1.28	+7.5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	43	0.270	$11.70	$1.15	+10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 5?	Yes	95	0.120	$11.35	$-6.01	-34.6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	59	0.190	$11.27	$-3.83	-25.3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	65	0.155	$10.15	$-2.29	-18.4%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	Yes	42	0.175	$7.41	$-3.59	-32.6%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?	Yes	23	0.145	$3.33	$-0.52	-13.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	35	0.075	$2.62	$-7.88	-75.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.050	$1.25	$-5.87	-82.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5?	Yes	213	0.001	$0.11	$-19.80	-99.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	30	0.003	$0.09	$-8.67	-99.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	13	0.005	$0.07	$-3.83	-98.2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	48	0.001	$0.02	$-13.90	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	44	0.001	$0.02	$-10.38	-99.8%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	24	0.001	$0.01	$-5.27	-99.8%