kerakles
0xb38ea393a17280ebcfd9be6b47b161d5cdb8272b
PnL (30d)
−$12
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$347
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
72W / 425L · 115 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
121W / 491L
Trades (30d)
612
across 97 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.14
avg win $53 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.99
$901 won / $914 lost
Reward / Risk
4.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$200
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,149 · all-time $655,654
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? |
Yes |
900 |
0.084 |
$75.64 |
$53.64 |
+243.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? |
Yes |
62 |
0.535 |
$33.16 |
$30.16 |
+1005.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or below on August 6? |
Yes |
600 |
0.015 |
$9.00 |
$3.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
1,486 |
0.001 |
$0.74 |
$-11.98 |
-94.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
1,101 |
0.001 |
$0.55 |
$-10.69 |
-95.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
1,100 |
0.001 |
$0.55 |
$-20.30 |
-97.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or below on August 5? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.001 |
$0.50 |
$-1.50 |
-75.0% |