| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
9,557 |
0.940 |
$8,983.74 |
$2,368.53 |
+35.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
7,474 |
0.895 |
$6,689.44 |
$1,628.08 |
+32.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.630 |
$1,260.00 |
$60.00 |
+5.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
5,250 |
0.175 |
$918.75 |
$-78.75 |
-7.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
2,501 |
0.330 |
$825.43 |
$-187.77 |
-18.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
2,034 |
0.340 |
$691.62 |
$-195.93 |
-22.1% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
641 |
0.607 |
$388.81 |
$-54.54 |
-12.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
230 |
0.565 |
$129.62 |
$23.33 |
+21.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
470 |
0.275 |
$129.25 |
$-6.43 |
-4.7% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
No |
1,000 |
0.105 |
$105.00 |
$15.00 |
+16.7% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.500 |
$100.21 |
$-65.37 |
-39.5% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
261 |
0.260 |
$67.79 |
$-88.94 |
-56.7% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
258 |
0.175 |
$45.14 |
$-54.86 |
-54.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
32 |
0.855 |
$27.15 |
$3.02 |
+12.5% |
| Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
46 |
0.415 |
$19.00 |
$-1.55 |
-7.5% |