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Trader leaderboard/Steve-Haines

Steve-Haines

0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3,260
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$80
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
207W / 41L · 41 open
Win Return (30d)
75%
217W / 72L
Trades (30d)
289
across 49 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$77.62
avg win $190 · loss $173
Profit Factor
2.45
$5,506 won / $2,246 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,124
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $40,447 · all-time $1,742,561

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.7% 582W/219L 161 $258,253
🏛 Politics 76.1% 35W/11L 10 $13,835
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/5L 3 $1,045
🎬 Culture 40.0% 4W/6L 3 $1,133

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 9,557 0.940 $8,983.74 $2,368.53 +35.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 7,474 0.885 $6,614.70 $1,553.34 +30.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 5,250 0.155 $813.75 $-183.75 -18.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 2,034 0.385 $783.16 $-104.40 -11.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 2,501 0.305 $762.90 $-250.31 -24.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 641 0.603 $386.57 $-56.78 -12.8%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 470 0.295 $138.65 $2.97 +2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 230 0.521 $119.63 $13.34 +12.6%
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? Yes 200 0.475 $95.20 $-70.38 -42.5%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes 261 0.258 $67.27 $-89.46 -57.1%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes 258 0.180 $46.43 $-53.57 -53.6%
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? Yes 46 0.450 $20.60 $0.06 +0.3%