tvqcgfncqgvh
0xb3537f0808aa2aca3375e41df7f3e7606df2bd7f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$38
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
59W / 78L · 51 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
110W / 78L
Trades (30d)
188
across 22 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$2.11
avg win $26 · loss $16
Profit Factor
0.80
$156 won / $194 lost
Reward / Risk
1.61
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$116
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,835 · all-time $322,444
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.018 |
$18.50 |
$-14.00 |
-43.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
559 |
0.025 |
$14.21 |
$0.34 |
+2.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.016 |
$8.00 |
$-2.50 |
-23.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
191 |
0.033 |
$6.21 |
$0.48 |
+8.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.007 |
$2.80 |
$-5.60 |
-66.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.014 |
$0.14 |
$0.06 |
+74.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.007 |
$0.02 |
$-0.01 |
-31.7% |