PnL (30d)

+$241

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$32

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+17.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

382W / 155L · 92 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

454W / 169L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

629

across 66 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$4.38

avg win $20 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.81

$539 won / $298 lost

Reward / Risk

1.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$120

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.1% 382W/155L	66	$3,001
🏛 Politics	38.1% 24W/39L	11	$660
🎬 Culture	38.1% 24W/39L	11	$660

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.019	$19.00	$-13.50	-41.5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	559	0.025	$14.21	$0.34	+2.4%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	247	0.021	$5.29	$0.10	+1.9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.007	$2.80	$-5.60	-66.7%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	10	0.013	$0.14	$0.06	+68.7%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	3	0.007	$0.02	$-0.01	-31.7%