PnL (30d)

−$2,319

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$73

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

445W / 609L · 47 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

475W / 626L

Trades (30d)

1,101

across 307 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$8.22

avg win $60 · loss $50

Profit Factor

0.74

$6,464 won / $8,783 lost

Reward / Risk

1.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$400

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.0% 1,145W/1,518L	731	$100,696
₿ Crypto	70.0% 28W/12L	48	$6,099
💵 Economy	70.0% 28W/12L	48	$6,099

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	6,409	0.816	$5,226.54	$2,022.04	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,409	0.184	$1,182.46	$-2,022.04	-63.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	350	0.870	$304.50	$10.50	+3.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	300	0.962	$288.44	$69.45	+31.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	300	0.925	$277.49	$103.50	+59.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	300	0.910	$273.00	$3.00	+1.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?	No	300	0.900	$270.00	$36.00	+15.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	302	0.890	$268.42	$174.97	+187.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	No	300	0.850	$255.00	$66.00	+34.9%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in August?	No	250	0.902	$225.50	$0.50	+0.2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in August?	No	250	0.825	$206.25	$-3.75	-1.8%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?	No	250	0.745	$186.25	$-33.75	-15.3%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in August?	No	250	0.660	$165.00	$-40.00	-19.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in August?	Yes	300	0.515	$154.50	$-13.50	-8.0%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $165 in August?	Yes	300	0.510	$153.00	$3.00	+2.0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?	Yes	176	0.640	$112.74	$27.88	+32.9%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 in August?	Yes	185	0.525	$96.88	$23.07	+31.2%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in August?	Yes	190	0.435	$82.65	$10.45	+14.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	350	0.217	$76.12	$51.62	+210.7%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	67	0.945	$63.24	$13.05	+26.0%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in August?	No	50	0.950	$47.50	$3.00	+6.7%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in August?	Yes	81	0.485	$39.11	$8.47	+27.6%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 in August?	No	147	0.240	$35.29	$-61.76	-63.6%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	33	0.983	$32.44	$2.74	+9.2%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?	No	300	0.085	$25.50	$-202.50	-88.8%