PnL (30d)

−$7,802

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$98

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

43%

1,144W / 1,517L · 57 open

Win Return (30d)

43%

1,182W / 1,536L

Trades (30d)

2,718

across 731 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$11.18

avg win $67 · loss $61

Profit Factor

0.70

$18,270 won / $26,072 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,317

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.0% 1,144W/1,517L	731	$100,696
₿ Crypto	71.1% 27W/11L	48	$6,099
💵 Economy	71.1% 27W/11L	48	$6,099

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	6,409	0.816	$5,226.54	$2,022.04	+63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,409	0.184	$1,182.46	$-2,022.04	-63.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	350	0.860	$301.00	$7.00	+2.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	300	0.956	$286.64	$67.65	+30.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	300	0.925	$277.49	$103.50	+59.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	300	0.910	$273.00	$3.00	+1.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?	No	300	0.860	$258.00	$24.00	+10.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	302	0.855	$257.86	$164.42	+175.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in August?	No	300	0.835	$250.50	$61.50	+32.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in August?	No	250	0.940	$234.88	$9.88	+4.4%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in August?	No	250	0.900	$225.00	$15.00	+7.1%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?	No	250	0.765	$191.25	$-28.75	-13.1%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $165 in August?	Yes	300	0.575	$172.50	$22.50	+15.0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in August?	No	250	0.640	$160.00	$-45.00	-22.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in August?	Yes	300	0.465	$139.50	$-28.50	-17.0%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 in August?	Yes	185	0.570	$105.17	$31.35	+42.5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 in August?	Yes	89	0.895	$79.40	$45.69	+135.5%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?	No	300	0.255	$76.50	$-151.50	-66.4%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August?	No	67	0.925	$61.90	$11.71	+23.3%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 in August?	No	147	0.420	$61.76	$-35.29	-36.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?	Yes	176	0.335	$59.01	$-25.84	-30.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in August?	Yes	190	0.265	$50.35	$-21.85	-30.3%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in August?	No	50	0.945	$47.25	$2.75	+6.2%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in August?	Yes	81	0.505	$40.73	$10.08	+32.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	350	0.100	$35.00	$10.50	+42.9%