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Trader

0xb26dfe6953c9814f03b7f16ac4c717305b4673f7
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$143
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
517W / 157L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
529W / 157L
Trades (30d)
686
across 156 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.95
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
2.86
$220 won / $77 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,309 · all-time $146,042

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 78.6% 2,098W/572L 498 $31,389
🌤 Weather 78.2% 190W/53L 66 $3,090

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? No 119 0.997 $118.40 $0.77 +0.7%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.27 +0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? No 51 0.975 $49.69 $1.99 +4.2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 7? Yes 70 0.450 $31.50 $-0.70 -2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5? No 25 1.000 $24.99 $4.57 +22.4%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 5? No 20 0.980 $19.60 $1.00 +5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7? No 20 0.885 $17.70 $0.90 +5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7? No 20 0.765 $15.30 $-0.30 -1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7? Yes 45 0.290 $13.05 $0.60 +4.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 20 0.560 $11.20 $-4.92 -30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? No 12 0.909 $10.91 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 6? Yes 20 0.520 $10.40 $-0.20 -1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? Yes 10 0.530 $5.29 $0.60 +12.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.210 $1.05 $0.00 +0.0%