PnL (30d)

+$750

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$17

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

2,096W / 572L · 42 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

2,134W / 572L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

2,710

across 498 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$1.56

avg win $3 · loss $3

Profit Factor

3.37

$1,067 won / $317 lost

Reward / Risk

1.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$56

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	78.6% 2,096W/572L	498	$31,389
🌤 Weather	78.3% 191W/53L	66	$3,125

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5?	No	50	1.000	$49.98	$0.27	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?	No	34	0.935	$32.06	$4.77	+17.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	50	0.510	$25.50	$1.00	+4.1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?	No	20	0.835	$16.70	$-0.10	-0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 7?	No	20	0.760	$15.20	$-0.40	-2.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 4?	No	15	1.000	$14.99	$0.08	+0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 7?	Yes	25	0.290	$7.25	$0.20	+2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	10	0.620	$6.20	$0.40	+6.9%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	10	0.515	$5.14	$0.45	+9.6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?	No	1	1.000	$1.22	$0.22	+21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	3	0.355	$1.06	$0.24	+29.1%