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Trader leaderboard/NiceDuckBro

NiceDuckBro

0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$569
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$37
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
37W / 3L · 64 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
64W / 40L
Trades (30d)
104
across 27 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$47.45
avg win $135 · loss $392
Profit Factor
1.73
$1,354 won / $785 lost
Reward / Risk
0.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$32
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,203 · all-time $1,534,009

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.3% 83W/5L 50 $70,124
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/3L 11 $7,837

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes 8,552 0.375 $3,206.99 $-837.29 -20.7%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 3,977 0.650 $2,584.82 $-77.43 -2.9%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? No 2,700 0.760 $2,052.00 $-33.85 -1.6%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 2,400 0.790 $1,896.01 $273.60 +16.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 2,000 0.815 $1,629.80 $-50.20 -3.0%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,685 0.740 $1,247.09 $390.83 +45.6%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 1,500 0.770 $1,154.99 $-29.76 -2.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No 1,401 0.670 $939.00 $88.49 +10.4%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3,337 0.254 $847.62 $-152.38 -15.2%
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31? No 2,082 0.375 $780.69 $-183.72 -19.1%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 2,500 0.285 $712.25 $-269.56 -27.5%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes 1,247 0.555 $692.22 $101.22 +17.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 500 1.000 $499.75 $34.75 +7.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 500 1.000 $499.75 $34.75 +7.5%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,199 0.155 $495.84 $-358.95 -42.0%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,125 0.290 $326.24 $-20.75 -6.0%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 431 0.735 $316.88 $148.17 +87.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 500 0.620 $309.99 $15.00 +5.1%
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? No 408 0.605 $246.75 $17.73 +7.7%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.585 $175.50 $-34.50 -16.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 200 0.815 $162.98 $0.98 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes 182 0.725 $131.95 $19.07 +16.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 230 0.560 $128.94 $3.43 +2.7%
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? No 120 0.720 $86.40 $-12.00 -12.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 16 0.905 $14.64 $2.99 +25.6%