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Trader leaderboard/NiceDuckBro

NiceDuckBro

0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
PnL (30d)
+$3,236
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$481
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+6.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
94%
81W / 5L · 112 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
129W / 69L
Trades (30d)
198
across 50 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$129.46
avg win $183 · loss $266
Profit Factor
5.05
$4,036 won / $799 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,606 · all-time $1,531,412

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.2% 81W/5L 50 $70,124
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 11 $7,837

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes 8,552 0.375 $3,206.99 $-837.29 -20.7%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 3,977 0.650 $2,584.82 $-77.43 -2.9%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? No 2,700 0.780 $2,106.00 $20.15 +1.0%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 2,400 0.790 $1,896.01 $273.60 +16.9%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,685 0.740 $1,247.09 $390.83 +45.6%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 1,500 0.770 $1,154.99 $-29.76 -2.5%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No 1,998 0.525 $1,049.11 $-163.58 -13.5%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 3,337 0.249 $832.61 $-167.39 -16.7%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 2,500 0.295 $737.50 $-244.31 -24.9%
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31? No 2,082 0.350 $728.64 $-235.77 -24.4%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes 1,247 0.555 $692.22 $101.22 +17.1%
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 3,199 0.155 $495.84 $-358.95 -42.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 500 0.952 $476.00 $11.00 +2.4%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 500 0.946 $473.00 $8.00 +1.7%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,125 0.290 $326.24 $-20.75 -6.0%
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? Yes 431 0.730 $314.72 $146.01 +86.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 500 0.615 $307.49 $12.50 +4.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? No 408 0.630 $256.95 $27.93 +12.2%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.585 $175.50 $-34.50 -16.4%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 200 0.815 $162.98 $0.98 +0.6%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? Yes 182 0.720 $131.04 $18.16 +16.1%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 230 0.560 $128.94 $3.43 +2.7%
Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31? No 120 0.735 $88.20 $-10.20 -10.4%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 16 0.900 $14.56 $2.91 +24.9%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? No 10 0.914 $9.14 $1.07 +13.3%