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hard

0xb1e294e978493fd1bc642c674ade517d07dc666d
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
327W / 80L · 65 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
363W / 109L
Trades (30d)
472
across 20 markets · ~24 per market
EV / position
+$0.01
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.05
$4 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,893 · all-time $543,676

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.4% 11,804W/4,498L 868 $11,877
🏛 Politics 31.8% 93W/199L 83 $587
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/11L 37 $208
🎬 Culture 8.4% 20W/217L 35 $246
💵 Economy 93.0% 93W/7L 28 $192
₿ Crypto 92.8% 90W/7L 17 $107
🔬 Science 7 $28
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 5 $42
🌤 Weather 4 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

114 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 40 0.041 $1.62 $-0.06 -3.6%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 20 0.077 $1.55 $-0.03 -1.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes 20 0.060 $1.21 $-0.03 -2.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? Yes 20 0.054 $1.08 $-0.44 -28.9%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.025 $1.02 $0.02 +1.6%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? Yes 20 0.047 $0.94 $-0.26 -21.7%
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? Yes 20 0.046 $0.93 $-0.20 -18.1%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 20 0.045 $0.91 $-0.11 -10.8%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.043 $0.87 $0.07 +8.5%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 20 0.033 $0.65 $-0.13 -16.7%
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 40 0.015 $0.62 $0.00 +0.0%
Iran leadership change by August 31? Yes 25 0.024 $0.60 $0.13 +28.1%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Yes 20 0.030 $0.60 $0.12 +25.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? Yes 40 0.014 $0.56 $0.04 +7.7%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 20 0.025 $0.50 $0.08 +19.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? Yes 20 0.025 $0.49 $-0.03 -5.7%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 20 0.021 $0.41 $-0.05 -10.8%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 20 0.019 $0.39 $0.02 +5.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 20 0.018 $0.35 $-0.03 -7.9%
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 5 0.073 $0.34 $-0.03 -9.3%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Yes 7 0.050 $0.34 $0.03 +8.7%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 20 0.017 $0.33 $0.03 +10.0%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? Yes 19 0.017 $0.32 $-0.15 -32.0%
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes 4 0.070 $0.31 $0.10 +49.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? Yes 20 0.015 $0.31 $0.05 +19.2%