| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? |
Yes |
72 |
0.895 |
$64.37 |
$14.37 |
+28.7% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
50 |
0.835 |
$41.75 |
$16.25 |
+63.7% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
56 |
0.680 |
$37.78 |
$17.78 |
+88.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.365 |
$36.50 |
$-0.50 |
-1.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
70 |
0.510 |
$35.86 |
$-1.14 |
-3.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
Yes |
76 |
0.370 |
$27.93 |
$-2.06 |
-6.9% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
51 |
0.355 |
$18.23 |
$-0.77 |
-4.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
40 |
0.325 |
$13.00 |
$-1.00 |
-7.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
86 |
0.145 |
$12.43 |
$-17.57 |
-58.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? |
Yes |
368 |
0.034 |
$12.32 |
$-7.68 |
-38.4% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
21 |
0.539 |
$11.42 |
$1.92 |
+20.2% |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? |
Yes |
109 |
0.101 |
$10.97 |
$-8.03 |
-42.3% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? |
Yes |
92 |
0.115 |
$10.54 |
$-0.46 |
-4.2% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
58 |
0.165 |
$9.55 |
$-15.95 |
-62.5% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$0.50 |
+5.6% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.055 |
$8.64 |
$-2.36 |
-21.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
45 |
0.100 |
$4.55 |
$-25.45 |
-84.8% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? |
Yes |
100 |
0.035 |
$3.50 |
$-4.50 |
-56.2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.022 |
$3.46 |
$-7.54 |
-68.6% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
26 |
0.115 |
$3.04 |
$-1.46 |
-32.4% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
Yes |
78 |
0.036 |
$2.83 |
$-7.17 |
-71.7% |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
414 |
0.005 |
$2.07 |
$-0.93 |
-30.9% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? |
Yes |
24 |
0.065 |
$1.56 |
$-4.44 |
-73.9% |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.002 |
$1.50 |
$-3.50 |
-70.0% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
42 |
0.033 |
$1.40 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |