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Trader leaderboard/Parz1vaI

Parz1vaI

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$23,524
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$312
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
377W / 147L · 262 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
523W / 263L
Trades (30d)
786
across 39 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
−$1,120.21
avg win $622 · loss $6,694
Profit Factor
0.30
$9,948 won / $33,472 lost
Reward / Risk
0.09
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10,180
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $308,012 · all-time $67,133,500

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.5% 3,270W/1,726L 224 $3,125,488
🏛 Politics 19.4% 7W/29L 14 $81,342
⚽ Sports 6 $7,231
🎬 Culture 36.8% 7W/12L 6 $8,513
💵 Economy 100.0% 7W/0L 4 $26,099
🤖 Tech 3 $14,542
₿ Crypto 100.0% 7W/0L 1 $2,286

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 130,000 0.911 $118,495.00 $53,495.00 +82.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 100,000 0.866 $86,550.00 $36,550.00 +73.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 90,000 0.883 $79,515.00 $34,515.00 +76.7%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 24,366 0.955 $23,269.97 $766.45 +3.4%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 22,661 0.905 $20,508.62 $37.78 +0.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 16,232 0.855 $13,878.56 $531.64 +4.0%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 13,976 0.987 $13,787.29 $467.94 +3.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100,000 0.135 $13,450.00 $-36,550.00 -73.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 59,699 0.213 $12,745.82 $-2,686.35 -17.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 130,000 0.088 $11,505.00 $-53,495.00 -82.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 90,000 0.117 $10,485.00 $-34,515.00 -76.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 11,046 0.945 $10,438.57 $476.93 +4.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 9,471 0.975 $9,229.25 $329.90 +3.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 14,400 0.635 $9,143.98 $-634.78 -6.5%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 8,518 0.982 $8,364.24 $155.97 +1.9%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No 10,982 0.595 $6,534.22 $-355.80 -5.2%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 6,238 0.935 $5,832.75 $304.88 +5.5%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 17,962 0.285 $5,117.40 $-2,058.36 -28.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 5,378 0.940 $5,055.79 $777.73 +18.2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 5,455 0.680 $3,709.73 $54.60 +1.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No 3,618 0.991 $3,583.51 $13.40 +0.4%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 4,019 0.803 $3,227.59 $135.44 +4.4%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 3,034 0.976 $2,961.41 $17.31 +0.6%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 4,262 0.635 $2,706.29 $70.18 +2.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 5,649 0.461 $2,601.50 $-1,060.21 -29.0%