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Trader leaderboard/Parz1vaI

Parz1vaI

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
PnL (30d)
−$51,623
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$34,063
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
3,270W / 1,726L · 2,711 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
4,665W / 3,041L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
7,707
across 221 markets · ~35 per market
EV / position
−$368.74
avg win $1,518 · loss $6,250
Profit Factor
0.76
$160,890 won / $212,513 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$21,543
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $303,225 · all-time $67,128,763

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.5% 3,270W/1,726L 221 $3,094,530
🏛 Politics 20.5% 9W/35L 17 $91,700
🎬 Culture 33.3% 9W/18L 9 $10,753
💵 Economy 100.0% 10W/0L 7 $38,025
⚽ Sports 6 $10,660
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $17,189
₿ Crypto 100.0% 7W/0L 1 $2,286

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

86 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 130,000 0.911 $118,495.00 $53,495.00 +82.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 100,000 0.866 $86,550.00 $36,550.00 +73.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 90,000 0.883 $79,515.00 $34,515.00 +76.7%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 24,366 0.955 $23,269.97 $766.45 +3.4%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 22,661 0.906 $20,531.29 $60.44 +0.3%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 16,232 0.855 $13,878.56 $531.64 +4.0%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 13,976 0.987 $13,787.29 $467.94 +3.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100,000 0.135 $13,450.00 $-36,550.00 -73.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 59,699 0.213 $12,745.82 $-2,686.35 -17.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 130,000 0.088 $11,505.00 $-53,495.00 -82.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 90,000 0.117 $10,485.00 $-34,515.00 -76.7%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 11,046 0.945 $10,438.57 $476.93 +4.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 9,471 0.976 $9,243.46 $344.11 +3.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 14,400 0.635 $9,143.98 $-634.78 -6.5%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 8,518 0.982 $8,364.24 $155.97 +1.9%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No 10,982 0.585 $6,424.41 $-465.62 -6.8%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 17,962 0.285 $5,117.40 $-2,058.36 -28.7%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 5,378 0.945 $5,082.68 $804.62 +18.8%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 5,085 0.905 $4,602.00 $129.49 +2.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 5,455 0.675 $3,682.45 $27.32 +0.7%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No 3,618 0.991 $3,583.51 $13.40 +0.4%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 4,019 0.799 $3,213.52 $121.37 +3.9%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 3,034 0.977 $2,962.93 $18.83 +0.6%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 4,262 0.635 $2,706.29 $70.18 +2.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 5,649 0.465 $2,624.09 $-1,037.62 -28.3%