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Trader leaderboard/ChoiceMeteor2520

ChoiceMeteor2520

0xb08223d6994cf79c10afc58653cbb8051ed55138
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
8W / 2L
Win Return (30d)
80%
8W / 2L
Trades (30d)
10
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.77
avg win $1 · loss $0
Profit Factor
8.70
$4 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
2.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61,215 · all-time $1,992,730

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 84.9% 2,509W/447L 1885 $185,564
₿ Crypto 99.7% 311W/1L 307 $25,565
⚽ Sports 97.0% 452W/14L 289 $36,933
🏛 Politics 84.6% 33W/6L 28 $3,428
🎬 Culture 90.0% 36W/4L 26 $3,658
💵 Economy 85.7% 6W/1L 12 $732
🤖 Tech 100.0% 2W/0L 7 $457
🌤 Weather 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $50
🔬 Science 100.0% 2W/0L 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

68 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? No 100 0.948 $94.80 $-0.15 -0.2%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes 159 0.575 $91.42 $-34.09 -27.2%
Will Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 80 0.885 $70.80 $-4.00 -5.3%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 80 0.872 $69.76 $-1.31 -1.8%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR? No 70 0.863 $60.38 $-1.00 -1.6%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR? No 58 0.959 $55.76 $-0.85 -1.5%
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 60 0.925 $55.50 $-0.30 -0.5%
Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call? Yes 50 0.995 $49.75 $-0.20 -0.4%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? No 50 0.983 $49.12 $2.42 +5.2%
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? Yes 50 0.975 $48.75 $1.75 +3.7%
Will no press briefing air by August 31? No 50 0.968 $48.40 $0.40 +0.8%
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? No 50 0.948 $47.40 $0.40 +0.9%
Will Disney say "Doomsday" during earnings call? Yes 47 0.996 $46.83 $-0.15 -0.3%
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 50 0.935 $46.75 $0.75 +1.6%
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No 53 0.849 $45.36 $-3.73 -7.6%
Will G2 Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? Yes 50 0.812 $40.62 $-7.47 -15.5%
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? No 43 0.915 $39.56 $-1.14 -2.8%
Will VARREL Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? No 50 0.739 $36.92 $-9.07 -19.7%
Will Disney say "Toy Story 5" during earnings call? Yes 35 1.000 $35.05 $0.09 +0.3%
Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia? No 40 0.785 $31.40 $-3.40 -9.8%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? Yes 40 0.764 $30.56 $-5.20 -14.5%
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 30 0.982 $29.46 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Chaz Molder be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? Yes 30 0.962 $28.86 $0.96 +3.4%
Will Riina Kionka be the next President of Estonia? No 26 0.954 $25.18 $0.38 +1.5%
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? No 36 0.634 $22.61 $-8.04 -26.2%