PnL (30d)

−$56

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$96

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

92%

780W / 70L · 66 open

Win Return (30d)

89%

799W / 99L · 18 open

Trades (30d)

916

across 568 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.11

avg win $2 · loss $34

Profit Factor

0.94

$920 won / $976 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$633

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.7% 2,484W/447L	1852	$181,927
⚽ Sports	97.0% 452W/14L	286	$34,613
₿ Crypto	99.7% 288W/1L	285	$24,984
🏛 Politics	84.6% 33W/6L	28	$3,411
🎬 Culture	89.5% 34W/4L	21	$3,285
💵 Economy	85.7% 6W/1L	12	$683
🤖 Tech	—	2	$83
🌤 Weather	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$50
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

73 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	114	1.000	$114.42	$0.06	+0.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	114	0.974	$111.09	$-0.03	-0.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	110	1.000	$109.94	$0.05	+0.0%
Ethereum above 1,890 on August 5, 7AM ET?	No	105	0.985	$103.42	$-1.47	-1.4%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on August 5, 7AM ET?	Yes	105	0.985	$103.42	$-1.47	-1.4%
Ethereum above 1,840 on August 5, 7AM ET?	Yes	105	0.985	$103.42	$-1.47	-1.4%
Ethereum above 1,850 on August 5, 7AM ET?	Yes	105	0.985	$103.42	$-1.47	-1.4%
Bitcoin above 64,400 on August 5, 7AM ET?	No	105	0.985	$103.42	$-1.47	-1.4%
Ethereum above 1,900 on August 5, 7AM ET?	No	105	0.980	$102.90	$-2.00	-1.9%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on August 5, 7AM ET?	Yes	100	0.985	$98.49	$-1.40	-1.4%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on August 5, 7AM ET?	No	100	0.985	$98.49	$-1.40	-1.4%
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	No	100	0.948	$94.80	$-0.15	-0.2%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	159	0.570	$90.61	$-34.91	-27.8%
Will Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	80	0.890	$71.20	$-3.60	-4.8%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	80	0.873	$69.80	$-1.27	-1.8%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?	No	70	0.863	$60.38	$-1.00	-1.6%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?	No	58	0.959	$55.76	$-0.85	-1.5%
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	60	0.925	$55.50	$-0.30	-0.5%
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	50	0.983	$49.15	$2.15	+4.6%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	50	0.982	$49.08	$2.38	+5.1%
Will no press briefing air by August 31?	No	50	0.968	$48.40	$0.40	+0.8%
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?	No	50	0.951	$47.55	$0.55	+1.2%
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	50	0.935	$46.75	$0.75	+1.6%
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	53	0.852	$45.49	$-3.59	-7.3%
Will G2 Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?	Yes	50	0.812	$40.62	$-7.47	-15.5%