PnL (30d)

+$6

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

345W / 92L

Win Return (30d)

79%

345W / 92L

Trades (30d)

437

across 43 markets · ~10 per market

EV / position

+$0.15

avg win $7 · loss $14

Profit Factor

1.03

$203 won / $197 lost

Reward / Risk

0.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.0% 1,984W/698L	259	$34,497
🌤 Weather	92.3% 72W/6L	7	$1,484

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?	No	224	0.960	$214.77	$18.95	+9.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	No	101	0.770	$77.81	$-0.45	-0.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 6?	No	10	0.996	$10.27	$0.27	+2.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	No	5	0.995	$5.46	$0.46	+9.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6?	No	1	0.975	$1.02	$0.02	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-117.22	-99.9%