PnL (30d)

+$441

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

1,984W / 698L · 21 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

1,997W / 698L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

2,703

across 249 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

+$1.84

avg win $7 · loss $16

Profit Factor

1.50

$1,313 won / $873 lost

Reward / Risk

0.44

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$171

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.0% 1,984W/698L	249	$33,631
🌤 Weather	92.9% 78W/6L	9	$1,511

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	154	0.960	$148.26	$5.34	+3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?	No	141	0.999	$140.37	$8.70	+6.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?	No	68	0.775	$52.73	$-0.21	-0.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 6?	No	10	0.935	$9.64	$-0.36	-3.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5?	No	8	0.989	$7.97	$0.32	+4.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	No	5	0.935	$5.14	$0.14	+2.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	6	0.530	$3.12	$0.12	+3.9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5?	No	1	0.870	$1.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6?	No	1	0.950	$0.99	$-0.01	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	165	0.001	$0.08	$-117.22	-99.9%