PnL (30d)

−$1

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

379W / 746L · 741 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

694W / 1,172L

Trades (30d)

1,866

across 10 markets · ~187 per market

EV / position

−$0.29

avg win $4 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.88

$8 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

0.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.6% 5,577W/14,605L	93	$3,207,071
🏛 Politics	34.4% 379W/723L	18	$17,453
🎬 Culture	34.4% 379W/723L	9	$15,980

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	100	0.865	$86.50	$-1.50	-1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	100	0.815	$81.49	$-0.51	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	60	0.835	$50.10	$0.30	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	45	0.816	$36.56	$-0.17	-0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	133	0.265	$35.12	$1.01	+3.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	34	0.735	$24.96	$-0.18	-0.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	24	0.895	$21.60	$0.12	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	26	0.575	$14.92	$-0.13	-0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	26	0.425	$11.21	$0.21	+1.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	59	0.184	$10.78	$0.29	+2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	81	0.105	$8.50	$-1.22	-12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	21	0.135	$2.86	$0.32	+12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	7	0.165	$1.10	$0.03	+3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	41	0.018	$0.71	$-3.78	-84.1%