PnL (30d)

−$10,824

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$53

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

5,577W / 14,605L · 1,056 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

6,058W / 15,145L · 35 open

Trades (30d)

21,238

across 93 markets · ~228 per market

EV / position

−$154.63

avg win $150 · loss $324

Profit Factor

0.26

$3,751 won / $14,575 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$16

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.6% 5,577W/14,605L	93	$3,207,071
🏛 Politics	34.4% 379W/723L	18	$17,483
🎬 Culture	34.4% 379W/723L	9	$15,980

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	100	0.875	$87.50	$-0.50	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	100	0.815	$81.49	$-0.51	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	26	0.585	$15.18	$0.13	+0.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	17	0.821	$13.95	$0.16	+1.2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	15	0.895	$13.46	$0.08	+0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	26	0.415	$10.95	$-0.06	-0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	81	0.105	$8.50	$-1.22	-12.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	9	0.755	$6.94	$0.04	+0.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	21	0.125	$2.65	$0.11	+4.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	9	0.245	$2.16	$0.04	+2.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	41	0.018	$0.75	$-3.74	-83.2%