| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
365 |
0.875 |
$319.57 |
$6.57 |
+2.1% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
137 |
0.385 |
$52.68 |
$7.68 |
+17.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
53 |
0.650 |
$34.21 |
$4.21 |
+14.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
108 |
0.237 |
$25.69 |
$-4.31 |
-14.4% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
81 |
0.285 |
$23.13 |
$-0.08 |
-0.3% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
40 |
0.506 |
$20.21 |
$0.21 |
+1.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
37 |
0.298 |
$10.90 |
$0.89 |
+8.9% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
60 |
0.176 |
$10.56 |
$-3.06 |
-22.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.235 |
$7.15 |
$0.15 |
+2.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
29 |
0.237 |
$6.96 |
$-0.04 |
-0.6% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? |
Yes |
11 |
0.560 |
$6.34 |
$0.34 |
+5.7% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
23 |
0.255 |
$5.98 |
$0.88 |
+17.3% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
131 |
0.034 |
$4.46 |
$0.46 |
+11.4% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.390 |
$3.75 |
$-1.25 |
-25.0% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.135 |
$3.38 |
$0.38 |
+12.5% |
| Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? |
Yes |
32 |
0.095 |
$3.04 |
$1.04 |
+51.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
8 |
0.285 |
$2.42 |
$-2.59 |
-51.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.305 |
$1.79 |
$0.79 |
+79.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
459 |
0.003 |
$1.38 |
$0.38 |
+37.7% |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? |
Yes |
19 |
0.058 |
$1.06 |
$0.06 |
+6.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
104 |
0.009 |
$0.94 |
$-0.06 |
-6.4% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.155 |
$0.93 |
$-0.71 |
-43.3% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
Yes |
11 |
0.082 |
$0.92 |
$-0.08 |
-7.9% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
23 |
0.035 |
$0.80 |
$-0.20 |
-19.8% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? |
No |
10 |
0.077 |
$0.78 |
$-0.23 |
-22.5% |