ErnstKuzorra
0xad8e0a79c34730774cfb1870d9fbdc0bfa45776e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,682
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,110
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-11.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
46W / 35L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
46W / 66L
Trades (30d)
112
across 12 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$268.21
avg win $147 · loss $1,237
Profit Factor
0.28
$1,029 won / $3,712 lost
Reward / Risk
0.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,601
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,180 · all-time $1,293,300
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
2,413 |
0.195 |
$470.57 |
$-108.59 |
-18.7% |