PnL (30d)

−$4,103

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,758

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

332W / 83L · 77 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

332W / 160L

Trades (30d)

492

across 54 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$85.49

avg win $102 · loss $1,022

Profit Factor

0.50

$4,072 won / $8,175 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,477

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	80.0% 332W/83L	54	$85,648
🌤 Weather	100.0% 23W/0L	3	$1,781
🏛 Politics	64.3% 18W/10L	3	$15,081
🎬 Culture	100.0% 18W/0L	2	$11,472
⚽ Sports	—	1	$1,995

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	2,413	0.195	$470.57	$-108.59	-18.7%