PnL (30d)

+$36

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+75.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

9W / 11L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

10W / 12L

Trades (30d)

22

across 16 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$2.57

avg win $12 · loss $3

Profit Factor

2.47

$60 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

4.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.8% 121W/330L	158	$1,345
🎬 Culture	57.4% 27W/20L	19	$134
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

25 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	70	0.797	$55.56	$50.96	+1108.3%
Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	125	0.152	$19.09	$12.93	+210.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	Yes	75	0.225	$16.94	$3.94	+30.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	70	0.116	$8.15	$3.46	+73.7%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	45	0.141	$6.27	$2.64	+72.8%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?	Yes	20	0.249	$4.98	$-2.60	-34.3%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	40	0.120	$4.80	$-1.87	-28.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?	Yes	526	0.004	$2.37	$-2.43	-50.6%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	512	0.004	$2.30	$1.23	+115.4%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	40	0.050	$2.00	$-4.67	-70.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	Yes	73	0.024	$1.71	$-0.99	-36.7%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Yes	5	0.280	$1.41	$0.40	+40.0%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m?	Yes	40	0.035	$1.40	$-5.27	-79.0%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?	Yes	40	0.026	$1.04	$-5.63	-84.4%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	Yes	5	0.170	$0.85	$-0.15	-15.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.035	$0.69	$0.06	+10.4%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m?	Yes	5	0.110	$0.55	$-0.45	-45.0%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	Yes	5	0.110	$0.55	$-0.45	-45.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	20	0.011	$0.22	$-3.48	-94.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	349	0.001	$0.17	$-0.17	-50.0%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	Yes	99	0.001	$0.05	$-0.70	-93.4%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by less than 5%?	Yes	59	0.001	$0.03	$-4.63	-99.4%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-0.61	-98.4%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-0.61	-98.4%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.001	$0.01	$-0.61	-98.4%