PnL (30d)

+$11

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

57W / 87L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

65W / 96L

Trades (30d)

161

across 54 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.27

avg win $7 · loss $6

Profit Factor

1.09

$142 won / $130 lost

Reward / Risk

1.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$41

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	26.8% 121W/331L	162	$1,361
🎬 Culture	57.4% 27W/20L	22	$147
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	70	0.800	$55.77	$51.17	+1112.9%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	45	0.500	$22.26	$18.63	+513.1%
Will Shri Thanedar win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%?	Yes	125	0.138	$17.21	$11.05	+179.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	Yes	75	0.220	$16.56	$3.56	+27.4%
Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?	Yes	20	0.472	$9.45	$1.87	+24.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	70	0.115	$8.04	$3.35	+71.4%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	55	0.130	$7.09	$-1.18	-14.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?	Yes	526	0.005	$2.89	$-1.90	-39.7%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	40	0.065	$2.60	$-4.07	-61.0%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	Yes	5	0.370	$1.86	$0.85	+85.0%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?	Yes	73	0.024	$1.71	$-0.99	-36.7%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Yes	5	0.320	$1.61	$0.60	+60.0%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 220m?	Yes	40	0.030	$1.22	$-5.45	-81.7%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m?	Yes	5	0.160	$0.80	$-0.20	-20.0%
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 26m?	Yes	5	0.145	$0.73	$-0.28	-27.5%
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 210m?	Yes	40	0.007	$0.28	$-6.39	-95.8%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	512	0.001	$0.26	$-0.81	-76.1%
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	349	0.001	$0.17	$-0.17	-50.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	20	0.006	$0.13	$-3.57	-96.5%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?	Yes	99	0.001	$0.05	$-0.70	-93.4%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by less than 5%?	Yes	59	0.001	$0.03	$-4.63	-99.4%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.000	$0.00	$-0.62	-100.0%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.000	$0.00	$-0.62	-100.0%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	20	0.000	$0.00	$-0.62	-100.0%