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Trader leaderboard/odb1

odb1

0xad5a38a6549b4b1e35b8c4cfef1b5242088de224
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$8
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+35.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
2W / 6L
Win Return (30d)
25%
2W / 6L
Trades (30d)
8
across 5 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.61
avg win $21 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.63
$21 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
6.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $828 · all-time $68,493

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.5% 474W/616L 479 $3,655
⚽ Sports 66.7% 60W/30L 40 $428
🏛 Politics 55.6% 40W/32L 36 $178
🎬 Culture 56.5% 35W/27L 28 $120
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $5
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 20 0.996 $19.84 $3.84 +24.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 16 0.951 $15.44 $0.64 +4.3%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 14 0.995 $14.01 $1.54 +12.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 16 0.865 $13.93 $0.77 +5.9%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage ALKA 96 0.145 $13.88 $0.18 +1.3%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 10 0.939 $9.39 $2.51 +36.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 9 0.625 $5.54 $-0.72 -11.5%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.989 $5.30 $0.64 +13.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.959 $5.05 $0.04 +0.9%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 5 0.948 $4.73 $0.51 +12.1%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 5 0.900 $4.50 $0.25 +5.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 11 0.356 $3.82 $-0.33 -8.0%
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? Yes 5 0.725 $3.62 $0.03 +0.7%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 15 0.210 $3.15 $-5.45 -63.4%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 5 0.640 $3.08 $-0.82 -21.0%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.105 $2.67 $0.67 +33.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 15 0.165 $2.44 $-1.99 -45.0%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 5 0.435 $2.06 $0.64 +45.0%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August? Yes 2 0.925 $1.96 $-0.04 -2.0%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 4 0.365 $1.63 $-0.02 -1.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 7 0.215 $1.60 $-4.61 -74.2%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 2 0.603 $1.16 $-0.38 -24.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 1 0.825 $1.14 $0.09 +8.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 5 0.220 $1.10 $-2.15 -66.2%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes 14 0.075 $1.07 $0.07 +7.1%