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Trader leaderboard/odb1

odb1

0xad5a38a6549b4b1e35b8c4cfef1b5242088de224
PnL (30d)
−$154
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$32
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
474W / 616L · 552 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
555W / 743L · 344 open
Trades (30d)
1,642
across 479 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.43
avg win $3 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.77
$511 won / $664 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$40
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $828 · all-time $68,493

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.5% 474W/616L 479 $3,655
🏛 Politics 57.5% 50W/37L 45 $222
⚽ Sports 68.0% 66W/31L 42 $460
🎬 Culture 58.4% 45W/32L 37 $164
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $5
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 20 0.997 $19.86 $3.86 +24.1%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 16 0.942 $15.29 $0.49 +3.3%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage ALKA 96 0.155 $14.84 $1.14 +8.3%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 14 0.997 $14.03 $1.56 +12.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 16 0.865 $13.93 $0.77 +5.9%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 10 0.940 $9.39 $2.52 +36.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 9 0.625 $5.54 $-0.72 -11.5%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.989 $5.30 $0.64 +13.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 5 0.961 $5.06 $0.06 +1.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 5 0.957 $4.77 $0.55 +13.1%
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 5 0.900 $4.50 $0.25 +5.9%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 11 0.356 $3.82 $-0.33 -8.0%
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026? Yes 5 0.685 $3.42 $-0.17 -4.9%
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes 15 0.210 $3.15 $-5.45 -63.4%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 5 0.640 $3.08 $-0.82 -21.0%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.105 $2.67 $0.67 +33.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 15 0.165 $2.44 $-1.99 -45.0%
Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 5 0.430 $2.04 $0.62 +43.3%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August? Yes 2 0.925 $1.96 $-0.04 -2.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 7 0.225 $1.67 $-4.54 -73.0%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 4 0.365 $1.63 $-0.02 -1.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 5 0.235 $1.17 $-2.08 -63.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 2 0.604 $1.17 $-0.37 -24.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 1 0.825 $1.14 $0.09 +8.5%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes 14 0.075 $1.07 $0.07 +7.1%