Trader
0xad0d072c6cfdefe315cdd89c6056b631f56a9dda
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-8.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.56
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.71
$4 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
1.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $152 · all-time $70,878
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.150 |
$13.27 |
$-4.66 |
-26.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
28 |
0.290 |
$8.25 |
$-3.70 |
-31.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.770 |
$7.95 |
$-0.10 |
-1.3% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.765 |
$5.12 |
$0.37 |
+7.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
31 |
0.160 |
$5.00 |
$-13.12 |
-72.4% |
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
No |
23 |
0.040 |
$0.92 |
$-1.84 |
-66.7% |