Trader
0xad0d072c6cfdefe315cdd89c6056b631f56a9dda
PnL (30d)
−$104
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-31.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
13W / 31L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
26%
14W / 40L
Trades (30d)
54
across 28 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.74
avg win $9 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.41
$73 won / $177 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $152 · all-time $70,878
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
88 |
0.150 |
$13.27 |
$-4.66 |
-26.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
28 |
0.290 |
$8.25 |
$-3.70 |
-31.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.760 |
$7.85 |
$-0.21 |
-2.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
31 |
0.165 |
$5.15 |
$-12.96 |
-71.6% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.755 |
$5.05 |
$0.30 |
+6.3% |
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? |
No |
23 |
0.040 |
$0.92 |
$-1.84 |
-66.7% |