ArieLethal
0xac7229eedf32992e087d6af8c8deacb9ecb807c1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$26
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+34.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
28W / 40L · 22 open
Win Return (30d)
31%
28W / 62L
Trades (30d)
90
across 25 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.39
avg win $8 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.37
$46 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
5.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,137 · all-time $180,928
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
550 |
0.105 |
$57.71 |
$-62.51 |
-52.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
157 |
0.105 |
$16.46 |
$-17.54 |
-51.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
80 |
0.045 |
$3.60 |
$-16.40 |
-82.0% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? |
Yes |
61 |
0.030 |
$1.82 |
$-2.87 |
-61.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
218 |
0.002 |
$0.44 |
$-5.56 |
-92.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
568 |
0.001 |
$0.28 |
$-169.71 |
-99.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
99 |
0.001 |
$0.10 |
$-17.90 |
-99.4% |