ArieLethal
0xac7229eedf32992e087d6af8c8deacb9ecb807c1
PnL (30d)
−$137
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$298
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
75W / 244L · 127 open
Win Return (30d)
19%
85W / 353L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
446
across 125 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.36
avg win $12 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.55
$171 won / $308 lost
Reward / Risk
3.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,137 · all-time $180,928
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
550 |
0.110 |
$60.45 |
$-59.76 |
-49.7% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
157 |
0.105 |
$16.46 |
$-17.54 |
-51.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
80 |
0.050 |
$4.00 |
$-16.00 |
-80.0% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? |
Yes |
61 |
0.030 |
$1.82 |
$-2.87 |
-61.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
218 |
0.003 |
$0.54 |
$-5.45 |
-90.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
568 |
0.001 |
$0.28 |
$-169.71 |
-99.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
99 |
0.001 |
$0.10 |
$-17.90 |
-99.4% |