PnL (30d)

−$25

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

59%

16W / 11L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

19W / 27L

Trades (30d)

46

across 10 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$4.13

avg win $7 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.36

$14 won / $39 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.9% 112W/228L	85	$4,333
🏛 Politics	—	1	$18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-4.50	-40.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	200	0.020	$4.00	$-7.00	-63.6%
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	400	0.004	$1.80	$0.60	+50.0%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-1.75	-70.0%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	400	0.002	$0.60	$-0.60	-50.0%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.95	-86.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	100	0.001	$0.05	$-19.95	-99.8%