PnL (30d)

−$206

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

112W / 228L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

124W / 246L

Trades (30d)

370

across 85 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.70

avg win $25 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.70

$484 won / $689 lost

Reward / Risk

2.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$47

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.9% 112W/228L	85	$4,333
🏛 Politics	—	1	$18

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	100	0.065	$6.50	$-4.50	-40.9%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	200	0.019	$3.80	$-7.20	-65.5%
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	400	0.003	$1.00	$-0.20	-16.7%
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	500	0.002	$0.75	$-1.75	-70.0%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	400	0.002	$0.60	$-0.60	-50.0%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.95	-86.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	100	0.001	$0.05	$-19.95	-99.8%