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Trader leaderboard/FranTerC4

FranTerC4

0xac163cc68039474d4060c2ac750b3d6a70fa4f44
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$99
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-9.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
9W / 27L
Win Return (30d)
25%
9W / 27L
Trades (30d)
36
across 16 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$6.19
avg win $6 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.23
$29 won / $128 lost
Reward / Risk
0.50
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$100
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,405 · all-time $1,401,098

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.2% 101W/203L 77 $22,226
🎬 Culture 61.7% 71W/44L 25 $2,183
🤖 Tech 25.0% 9W/27L 16 $1,351
🏛 Politics 78.5% 62W/17L 11 $3,262
💵 Economy 100.0% 50W/0L 2 $321

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,405 0.998 $2,398.80 $-1.20 -0.0%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 100 0.510 $51.00 $23.00 +82.1%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? No 100 0.490 $49.00 $-20.00 -29.0%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 53 0.845 $44.45 $6.05 +15.8%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 42 0.765 $31.87 $1.87 +6.2%
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes 200 0.100 $20.00 $-52.00 -72.2%
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 120 0.048 $5.76 $-21.84 -79.1%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 2,000 0.003 $5.00 $-7.00 -58.3%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes 15 0.175 $2.62 $-1.27 -32.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 15 0.175 $2.62 $-2.62 -50.0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.003 $2.50 $-3.50 -58.3%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes 1 0.090 $0.10 $-0.06 -35.7%