PnL (30d)

−$308

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$92

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

101W / 203L · 28 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

103W / 208L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

332

across 77 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$4.60

avg win $10 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.44

$245 won / $553 lost

Reward / Risk

0.79

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$329

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.2% 101W/203L	77	$22,226
🎬 Culture	61.7% 71W/44L	25	$2,183
🤖 Tech	25.0% 9W/27L	16	$1,351
🏛 Politics	78.5% 62W/17L	11	$3,262
💵 Economy	100.0% 50W/0L	2	$321

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2,405	0.998	$2,398.80	$-1.20	-0.0%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	100	0.540	$54.00	$26.00	+92.9%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	100	0.460	$46.00	$-23.00	-33.3%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	53	0.845	$44.45	$6.05	+15.8%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	42	0.765	$31.87	$1.87	+6.2%
Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	200	0.075	$15.00	$-57.00	-79.2%
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	120	0.049	$5.88	$-21.72	-78.7%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,000	0.003	$5.00	$-7.00	-58.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	15	0.175	$2.62	$-2.62	-50.0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.003	$2.50	$-3.50	-58.3%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	15	0.160	$2.40	$-1.50	-38.5%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	1	0.090	$0.10	$-0.06	-35.7%