Kenny.Powers
0xab7b6b4ac0426ada55d895564bee7c26cbdaf350
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$21
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$237
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 9L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 18L
Trades (30d)
18
across 6 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$6.92
· loss $7
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $21 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $164 · all-time $803,239
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,368 |
0.790 |
$1,080.87 |
$420.88 |
+63.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.380 |
$760.00 |
$-220.00 |
-22.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
2,512 |
0.295 |
$740.94 |
$-654.21 |
-46.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
905 |
0.175 |
$158.41 |
$-427.49 |
-73.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
221 |
0.455 |
$100.42 |
$-22.69 |
-18.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.209 |
$62.85 |
$-27.15 |
-30.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
311 |
0.145 |
$45.13 |
$-102.54 |
-69.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.535 |
$32.12 |
$-3.39 |
-9.5% |